Subway 500 @ Phoenix

[Maxx40]

CUP YTD

2-0 +2.00 units (Match-Ups)
1-1 - 0.35 unit (Props)
0-1 - 1.15 units (Outrights)

Total: +0.50 unit

Back to real racing this week.
Kahne looks really good and the pit notes I've read seem to concur with that, liking the 5, 14, 16 with 55 and 39 on the second tier.

All lines from 5dimes/sportsbook.com

MATCH-UPS

2.00 units Kasey Kahne (-130) over Kyle Busch
1.50 units Tony Stewart (-120) over Jimmie Johnson
1.50 units Marcos Ambrose (+120) over Paul Menard
1.00 unit AJ Allmendinger (+120) over Martin Truex

PROPS

1.50 units Greg Biffle (-115) under 9.5
1.50 units Ryan Newman (+125) Top 10
1.50 unit Kasey Kahne (+180) Top 5
1.25 unit Tony Stewart (+130) Top 5

OUTRIGHT

0.75 unit Kasey Kahne (+900)
0.60 unit Tony Stewart (+700)
0.40 unit Greg Biffle (+1300)
0.20 unit Ryan Newman (+2500)
0.18 unit Mark Martin (+3000)

Good luck!

 

[rolltide]

bit of info on these tracks...

Short, flat tracks (past three years):

1. Jeff Gordon 7.27 (Power Average); 2. Jimmie Johnson 7.86; 3. Denny Hamlin 8.54; 4. Kyle Busch 8.89; 5. Ryan Newman 10.42; 6. Tony Stewart 11.00; 7. Clint Bowyer 12.22; 8. Kurt Busch 12.37; 9. Jeff Burton 12.90; 10. Juan Montoya 12.92.

11. Carl Edwards 13.11; 12. Mark Martin 13.16; 13. Kevin Harvick 13.66; 14. Dale Earnhardt Jr. 17.31; 15. A.J. Allmendinger 17.87; 16. David Reutimann 18.04; 17. Martin Truex Jr. 18.09; 18. Matt Kenseth 19.27; 19. Kasey Kahne 19.30; 20. Greg Biffle 19.59.

21. Jamie McMurray 19.65; 22. Brad Keselowski 20.77; 23. Joey Logano 21.02; 24. Marcos Ambrose 22.94; 25. David Ragan 26.40; 26. Casey Mears 28.06; 27. Paul Menard 28.76; 28. Regan Smith 29.48; 29. Aric Almirola 30.39; 30. Bobby Labonte 30.53.

31. Brendan Gaughan 31.31; 32. David Stremme 31.76; 33. Robby Gordon 33.28; 34. David Gilliland 34.27; 35. Josh Wise 35.13; 36. J.J. Yeley 36.69; 37. Travis Kvapil 36.82; 38. Scott Riggs 36.91; 39. Landon Cassill 37.01; 40. Dave Blaney 37.05.

41. Michael McDowell 38.38; 42. Joe Nemechek 38.85; 43. Terry Labonte 41.53

The Power Average is the average finish during the past three years, plus the number of laps spent in the lead, in the top five and in the top 10 expressed as if they were finishing results. For example a driver who has led the most laps receives a hypothetical first-place finish, the driver who leads the second most laps receives a hypothetical second-place finish, and so on. This rewards drivers who competed at the front of the pack for the majority of the race, even if an unfortunate event takes them out of contention at the very end of the race. A driver's recent record in the support series also is factored in, as is his average running position as provided by NASCAR Statistical Services. Failures to qualify are credited to the driver as if they were a finishing position (i.e. the first non-qualifier is assigned a 44th-place finish).


Drivers who led more then 1 lap in fall race (2011): Tony Stewart 160, Kurt Busch 57, Matt Kenseth 49, Carl Edwards 27, Kasey Kahne 14, Brad Keselowski 4

Drivers who led more than 1 lap in Spring race (2011): Jeff Gordon 138, Tony Stewart 59, Kurt Busch 31, Kyle Busch 23, Carl Edwards 21, Jimmie Johnson 19, Denny Hamlin 9, Ryan Newman 7, Matt Kenseth 2

Top 5 AVG finish at Phoenix (last 5 years): Jimmie Johnson 3.7, Mark Martin 8.56, Denny Hamlin 10.1, Greg Biffle 11.7, Tony Stewart 11.9

 

[rolltide]

one more piece of info...

The past 11 Phoenix races were won from a top-five starting position, including eight from the front row. Sixteen races have been won from the first two rows, including four from the pole: Carl Edwards (Nov. 2005); Matt Kenseth (Nov. 2006); Kyle Busch (April 2008, Feb. 2011).

first two rows this race are Martin, Stewart, Johnson, and Smith...Montoya starts 5th